QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I hope you come to Dubai for a convention subsequent 12 months. After your Syrian forecast that the civil battle would finish solely 13 years from the beginning in 2011, these of us listed below are nonetheless in shock and awe, as you say there within the States. I do know your fashions have thought-about the cycles in Syria from Roman occasions. Is 2027 nonetheless the goal within the Center East?
BAF
ANSWER: Syria has a really lengthy historical past. Antioch was the hyperlink to the Silk Street for all of the dies and spices from Asia. As you’ll be able to see, it’s sandwiched between Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, and Israel. Traditionally, it has additionally been often known as the Levant and a strategic chess piece within the world battle of geopolitics. The Seleucid Empire was a Greek state in West Asia throughout the Hellenistic interval. It was based in 312BC by the Macedonian common Seleucus I Nikator (312-281BC) when the Macedonian Empire based by Alexander the Nice was divided after his dying amongst his generals.
Thus, this grew to become often known as the Seleucid dynasty till its annexation by the Roman Republic underneath Pompey in 63 BC, who conquered the area, reworking Syria right into a Roman province. This has lent Syria the chance to supply a wealthy database extending centuries for laptop evaluation. First, you could acknowledge that legal guidelines are all the time silent throughout battle and civil unrest. They’re the decorations of civilization and solely apply when there’s civil discord – not battle and upheaval.
The primary Syrian to grow to be a Roman Emperor was Elagabalus (218-222AD). That is all the time the identical sample of the conquered/slave ultimately changing into king. Some pointed that out when Obama grew to become President. It is a mere reality of historical past. The king is lifeless – lengthy dwell the king. One other reality of historical past is when there’s a civil rebellion, the king could fall, however the victor rapidly assumes the identical insurance policies as these he vanquished.
The English Civil Battle tore down the rule of legislation, and right here you see Oliver Cromwell rapidly issued coinage styled because the very king he had beheaded for daring to defend towards him within the civil battle. He put King Charles on trial, discovered him responsible for shedding the civil battle, after which beheaded him.
Civil Wars are likely to final 4.3 years (American Civil Battle), 8.6 years (English Civil Battle), and even 13 years (Cambodian Civil Battle, 1967-1975). Nevertheless, transcend that 8.6-year interval, and it’ll prolong to 13 years.
Numerous occasions when there have been civil wars, you discover the pinnacle of state when captured, is usually executed. This appears to be customary. When they’re lifeless, they are going to routinely topple their statues as they did all through Japanese Europe, toppling the statues of Lenin.
Civil Wars all the time invoke deep hatred, and when leaders usually are not executed, what you discover is usually assassinations of the victor. They assassinated Julius Caesar after he gained the civil battle. These are cyclical patterns that routinely happen. There was an tried assassination of Zelensky, and he fired his head of safety as a result of it was Ukrainians – not Russians. There was the same tried assassination of Hitler.
Assad is sensible to flee together with his household to Russia, for they might have all been executed simply because the Russian Revolution executed the complete household of the Czar. Individuals who engaged in civil wars and/or revolutions all the time responded the identical manner, it doesn’t matter what tradition or nation was concerned. The Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi additionally fled Iran in 1978 throughout that revolution. These items could seem like a shock, however they’re customary within the playbook of geopolitics.
I’ve beforehand warned that Turkey has the most important military within the Center East, and Erdogan praised the Hamas assault as a result of he desires of resurrecting the Ottoman Empire and he sees himself because the chief. They’re mortal enemies of Greece and that goes again to the autumn of the Byzantine Empire. Turkey has funded these rebels, and that grew to become doable solely as a result of Israel destroyed Hezbollah. On the one hand, you’ve the US cheering Al-Qaeda all as a result of the Neocons have been attempting for years to overthrow all three dictators they created in Syria, Iraq, and Libya. Now, they’ll get the pipeline from Qutar to chop off Russia’s vitality gross sales to Europe. So that is all about Russia, Russia, Russia. In the meantime, they’re so fixated on conquering Russia that they’ve ignored the true menace within the Center East of the resurrection of the Ottoman Empire.
I’ll replace the prospects for battle within the Center East and the ability vacuum that’s unfolding that’s hidden behind the headlines. Most individuals don’t know that it was the West that created all of those arab states. They had been by no means impartial nation-states. With World Battle I, the West lastly took down the Ottoman Empire. This was when the Sykes-Picot Settlement was established as a 1916 secret treaty between the UK and France, with the consent of Russia, Italy, and america. They had been carving up the Ottoman Empire, which they mutually agreed to determine spheres of affect, thereby partitioning the Ottoman Empire. Syria was created, and the rule of Assad was within the financial pursuits of the West.
I’ve been requested why I don’t write a lot concerning the Israeli battle and supply an answer. There’s NONE!!!! It is a spiritual battle, and a ceasefire will solely be momentary. Israel’s enemies is just not restricted to Iran. It additionally consists of Turkey as we transfer ahead in time.
We’ll publish an replace on the geopolitical way forward for the Center East for the Arab world and Israel. This can be launched in January.