Journalist Mark Halperin mentioned yesterday that he has seen ‘non-public polling’ almost certainly that means inside marketing campaign polling, and that Kamala Harris is ‘in hassle’ in a lot of the swing states.
Based on Halperin, Harris is in peril of dropping six out of seven swing states, together with Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin. He thinks she may need a shot of successful Nevada.
Take all of this with a grain of salt however do not forget that Mark Halperin was one of many very first journalists to say with some certainty that Joe Biden was going to drop out of the race.
Transcript through Real Clear Politics:
HALPERIN: It’s not simply Republicans, they need to faux they’ll win the bulk. They need to have a path to speak by way of.
For you Harris individuals on right here complaining that we’re speaking about issues within the Harris marketing campaign, you’re welcome to place your head within the sand about it. If you wish to go watch MSNBC primetime and listen to how nice issues are going for the Harris marketing campaign, you’re welcome to try this. However if you wish to perceive what’s really taking place, we’re right here to inform you, I simply noticed some new non-public polling at this time.
That’s very sturdy non-public polling. She’s in numerous hassle. Right here’s how I framed it this morning in my e-newsletter. The dialog I’m having with Trump individuals and Democrats with information are extraordinarily bullish on Trump’s probabilities within the final 48 hours, extraordinarily bullish. You consider the seven battleground states, which of them is Harris in peril of dropping? I’d say Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. I’m not saying she’ll lose all six, however she’s in peril.
The one one which the Democrats say she’s not in peril of dropping is the one I by no means say the title of as a result of I can’t pronounce it, but it surely’s the place Las Vegas is. You guys agree with me. She may lose any of these six.
I imply, she may lose all seven, however Democrats will inform you they’re nervous about these six. They’re much less nervous in regards to the seven. I don’t know any Trump one who says they’re nervous about dropping any of the seven.
Watch the video beneath:
Mark Halperin on Harris’ swing-state trajectory: “I simply noticed some new non-public polling at this time that’s very sturdy … She’s in numerous hassle … The dialog I’m having with Trump individuals and Democrats with information are extraordinarily bullish on Trump’s probabilities” @DailyCaller pic.twitter.com/s3e6pxEanF
— Jason Cohen (@JasonJournoDC) October 8, 2024
All of this has shades of 2016. Like then, Trump has a number of paths to 270 Electoral Faculty votes. Harris has a really slender path, similar to Hillary did.