If the no-confidence vote does certainly undergo, Barnier must tender his resignation however Macron might ask him and his authorities to remain on in a caretaker position to deal with day-to-day enterprise whereas he seeks a brand new prime minister, which might effectively occur solely subsequent yr.
One possibility can be for Macron to call a authorities of technocrats with no political programme, hoping that would assist survive a no-confidence vote. In any case, there could be no new snap parliamentary elections earlier than July.
So far as the funds is worried, if parliament has not adopted it by Dec. 20, the caretaker authorities might invoke constitutional powers to move it by ordinance.
Nevertheless, that may be dangerous as there’s a authorized gray space about whether or not a caretaker authorities can use such powers. And that may make sure you set off uproar from the opposition.
A extra seemingly transfer can be for the caretaker authorities to suggest particular emergency laws to roll over spending limits and tax provisions from this yr. However that may imply that financial savings measures Barnier had deliberate would fall by the wayside.