Sixty-eight p.c of seemingly Cuban-American voters in Miami-Dade County, Florida, are planning to vote for Donald Trump in November, in response to the 2024 Florida Worldwide College ballot launched on Wednesday.
The pollsters report that 23 p.c of respondents plan to vote for Kamala Harris, and 5 p.c remained undecided.
FIU mentioned in a press launch:
“Sixty-eight p.c is the best recorded approval price for Trump amongst Cuban People on the FIU Cuba Ballot, which is the longest operating survey of Cuban People within the nation, monitoring the neighborhood since 1991. The 2016 ballot registered 35% approval for Trump, whereas the 2020 got here in at 59%. The 2024 approval price can also be higher than the precise Cuban American vote for Trump within the final two presidential elections.”
The pollsters said that the outcomes present “the Cuban American neighborhood stays loyal to the Republican Social gathering and the Trump model of it.”
“Plainly the Trump practice remains to be selecting up passengers on Calle Ocho,” mentioned Guillermo Grenier, lead investigator on the Cuba Ballot and a professor of sociology within the Division of International and Sociocultural Research on the Steven J. Inexperienced Faculty of Worldwide & Public Affairs, which sponsors the ballot together with FIU’s Cuban Analysis Institute. “Cuban People born outdoors of Cuba being the exception, the Cuban American neighborhood stays loyal to the Republican Social gathering and the Trump model of it.”
A 55 p.c majority of registered Cuban American voters determine as Republicans.
“Within the Florida senate election, U.S. Senator Rick Scott is predicted to obtain 50% of the Cuban American vote, whereas challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell will garner roughly 19% of the determined voters,” the ballot discovered. “A comparatively massive undecided phase (22%) makes the race for the U.S. Senate seat nearer than anticipated, given Scott’s earlier overwhelming help from the neighborhood.”
The highest three points amongst Republican Cuban-American voters are the financial system, immigration, and entry to well being care.
“This yr’s findings verify a protracted pattern of Cuban American help for a complicated coverage strategy that mixes sanctions in opposition to the regime whereas participating with the Cuban individuals,” mentioned Sebastian Arcos, interim director of the Cuban Analysis Institute, in a press launch. “Cuban People have a greater grasp of the problems and coverage trade-offs concerned than most consultants and coverage makers. Sustaining the U.S. embargo is on the core of this strategy, which largely explains Cuban American’s conventional inclinations towards the Republican Social gathering and powerful help for Donald Trump’s insurance policies.”
The ballot was performed between September 25 and October 9 amongst seemingly voters who’re U.S. residents.