CNN knowledge analyst Harry Enten not too long ago identified {that a} majority of Individuals imagine the nation is on the mistaken monitor and that that is dangerous information for the Kamala Harris marketing campaign.
He identified that traditionally, this often results in a lack of energy for the incumbent get together.
For this reason Democrats advert the media have been so determined to make it appear like Kamala Harris isn’t the incumbent candidate, which she is.
Transcript by way of Real Clear Politics:
HARRY ENTEN: If we have a look at whether or not voters imagine we’re heading in the right direction or the mistaken monitor, I feel that this form of will get at an issue for Kamala Harris’s marketing campaign. Simply 28% of Individuals suppose the usis heading in the right direction. And I would like you to place that into perspective. When does the typical when the incumbent get together loses the election, it’s simply 25%. That appears a heck of loads like that, 28% who at present suppose the nation’s heading in the right direction.
When the White Home get together wins — Kamala Harris’s get together, the Democrats — 42% on common suppose that the nation is heading in the right direction.
This 25% seems much more like dish 28%. It doesn’t look something like this 42%. This to me is a foul signal for Kamala Harris’s marketing campaign. The underside line is, it seems much more like a loser than it does like a winner, relating to the nation being heading in the right direction.
If we glance traditionally talking, say the U.S. is heading in the right direction, the incumbent get together, after they win, as we speak once more, it’s simply 28%. Look all through historical past, proper? 96, 88, 04, 12, 84. All of it of those situations, way over 28% thought that the nation was heading in the right direction. 39 was the bottom again in 1996. We’ve acquired upwards of 47% in 84, in fact, that was a blowout for Ronald Reagan.
Right here’s the video:
CNN’s Enten: “Traditionally Unprecedented” For Incumbent Social gathering To Win When Solely 28% Suppose Nation Is On “Proper Monitor”
Learn extra – https://t.co/ZMyb8UuYKg
“There is no such thing as a historic precedent for the White Home get together successful one other time period when simply 28% of the nation thinks that… pic.twitter.com/UpuJ4vBuBo
— RCP Video (@rcpvideo) October 4, 2024
Historical past isn’t on Kamala’s facet. Individuals need change and Trump is the change candidate.