It was a energetic debate, to say the least, and Kamala got here off significantly better than even I anticipated. There was no rambling with nonsensical explanations reflecting that whoever ready her did a implausible job. But, Kamala’s plan is for a $6,000 tax credit score for a new child household, $25,000 to purchase a house, and $50,000 credit score to begin a enterprise. All they’re are tax credit. When you don’t make that a lot, there isn’t any credit score. Even to begin a small businss 50k isn’t sufficient. It will be greatest to have not less than 250k to begin any primary enterprise. If in case you have that a lot, then the paradox is you’re the hated wealthy.
I discovered Trump to be too rattled, however Kamala was nicely ready. She taunted Trump, and he took the bait. She got here off as somebody who might be president within the eyes of the typical voter. I’d anticipate her to be now claimed to be the frontrunner. Trump by no means introduced up the taxation of unrealized good points, which might create the most important crash in American Historical past.
Two of our six fashions, based mostly fully on economics, present a 51% victory for Kamala. Whereas 4 fashions present a Trump victory, two are additionally at simply 51%. Due to this fact, this displays a decent race. Nonetheless, what’s surprising is that two of the six fashions level to a attainable Trump victory at 61% and 59%.
The 2020 election got here in at 51.3% for Biden and 46.8% for Trump. It’s exhausting to consider these numbers had been appropriate when Biden beat Obama within the swing states. However, the 2 fashions had been a useless warmth, and three confirmed a Biden victory, with one displaying a victory for Trump. In comparison with the 2024 mannequin, there we’ve got 4 for Trump and solely two for Kamala.
As I’ve stated, figuring out what’s at stake for the Neocons and the prospect of battle sooner or later, I’ve stated that I’d have anticipated the Neocons to attempt to assassinate Trump, and he escaped by simply turning his head on the proper second. The paradox right here is {that a} Trump victory would make no sense when he and RFK are anti-war. This implied to me both they assassinated Trump or began World Struggle III earlier than the election or by January to entice Trump into battle.
Simply trying on the efficiency of this debate, you need to say that Kamala received, and he or she got here off as authoritative for the primary time. She was ready considerably, and this was the primary time I’d say she might play the position of President for the Neocons. I can now see why they handed it to her.
A victory for Kamala seems to be set to unleash a two-year correction within the inventory market.